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樓價偏高,何止香港?

港人最近對高樓價怨言頗多,我當然很理解,但大家看過世界其他地方後,便會知道樓價過高的問題既非香港獨有,港人的處境也非特別差。

就以澳洲為例吧,各大城市的樓價以每季百分之五至六上升,隨便找個上車盤——市區的單位或市郊的獨立屋,不論是新落成或是現樓,動輒起碼50萬澳元(即港幣350萬左右),想像香港找200來萬的上車盤,非到邊錘的地區不可,雖說那些地方地大屋也大,但論到交通及其他設施的配套,真的會給天水圍比不去。

澳洲各銀行明知樓價太高有風險,最近收緊了一般人的貸款準則,要求貸款人有能力支付兩成首期之餘,還要取消高信貸額的信用卡。借到錢後,償還貸款可吃力了,澳洲最近加息已成國際新聞,習慣了兩、三厘利率(甚至更低)的港人,聽到澳洲一般房貸利率已超越六厘,會不會吃一驚?況且,利率祇有越來越高的份兒,待利率再加一厘至澳洲的「正常水平」後,50萬澳元的物業,借到40萬(港幣280萬),年期廿五年,每月供款便達二萬港元!(同樣貸款在香港以三厘承造,年期廿年也祇需每月供$15500,廿五年更低至$13300。)

究竟樓價為何長升長有?簡單來說就是需求殷切,而且資金不斷流入,政府又助波推欄,其實和香港的情況相似,最大的差別,在於港府限制了土地供應,澳洲政府則刺激了需求,推出首次置業補助,最高(用於買樓花或新落成建築)可達32000澳元(22萬港元),原意是幫助首置者及保住建築和連帶行業,但地產商和建築商也不笨呀,所以適合上車的物業,升幅可不少,也令整體樓市堅挺,有評論因而說,此政策的實際功用,乃托住樓價和一眾業主的信心,多於真正協助置業者。就算這個補助現已逐漸縮減,樓市也有一班長期穩定的新力軍,就是移民和短期居留者,而且源源不絕,而他們的目標也是一般市民的中、下價盤!這些新來者,絕非泛泛之輩,同事和朋友都目睹過「國內豪客」,在物業拍賣成交後用現金全數支付,看得我們這些「窮同胞」眼紅!最近有新聞報導說,國內送子女赴外升學而有財政實力的,都會給子女置業,然後把房間分租,租金足以支付學費,而隨着樓價上升,就算如果物業需要貸款,利率再高也不怕,反正學成後把物業賣掉也除笨有精。想不到祖國崛起的效應,在澳洲也在平民層面感受到!

面對樓價不停上升,澳洲不少人也望洋興歎,不過除了政府會逐步按原來減少首次置業補助外,也不見有甚麼具體行動,小市民要抱怨也祇是中午一同吃飯時發一兩句牢騷而已。港人則進取了,直接找煲呔特首申訴,未幾政府也出了幾道招數冷卻一下樓市,總算是有點交代了,大家還想怨甚麼?但是這些怨氣的背後,想必有很多更深層的問題,香港政府有沒有正視?

Comments

eric said…
你有冇買樓?我而家都想買番間。俾咗咁多年租真喺好似倒錢入海咁。
Alex said…
香港以前的樓宇貸款利息也很高的,只是近年來經濟不穩定才調低了.
GK said…
Eric:我諗住可以利用下政府補貼,但我識咁諗,人哋都識,我又無人地咁有本錢,睇住d樓升,吼咗兩三個月都意興闌珊……其實我見香港息咁低都有諗諗,不過無工無得講。照計依家英國樓應該好平,應該係好時機啦。

Alex:香港樓按息率,應該是全世界最低,而且因為美國經濟仍然困難,仍有段時間不會加息,而且香港錢浮於事,看來香港還有一段低息「蜜月期」。
Anonymous said…
I am trying to buy in London too...

However, the price has risen so much for the past two months... I guess I have to wait til the next crisis...

London is definitely not a place for people who just started their career...

BTW, I read yours and Eric's blogs... I totally miss the life in Oz... your guy can enjoy such beautiful landscape. I am totally jealous!

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